Brexit: UK divorce bill offer worth up to 50bn euros

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The amount of money the UK will pay as part of Brexit has been one of the main sticking points so far

The UK has offered a larger potential “divorce bill” to the EU – which could be worth up to 50bn euros (£44bn), the BBC understands.

There has been no final agreement on a number but the offer was given a “broad welcome” by Brussels, BBC political editor Laura Kuenssberg said.

No 10 has played down reports the final figure could be up to 55bn euros (£49bn).

The offer was communicated to Brussels after last week’s cabinet meeting.

The amount of money the UK will pay as part of Brexit has been one of the main sticking points in the first round of negotiations with the EU.

In September Theresa May suggested the UK was willing to pay about 20bn euros, and the EU has been calling for its offer to be increased.

The UK is hoping to move on to talking about trade but the EU will only do this when it deems “sufficient progress” has been made on three areas – the so-called divorce bill, the rights of EU citizens in the UK after Brexit and the Irish border.

Why is the UK paying anything if it’s leaving?

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Brexit Secretary David Davis and EU chief Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier have been trying to reach a deal on the so-called divorce bill

The EU says the UK needs to settle its accounts before it leaves. It says the UK has made financial commitments that have to be settled as part of an overall withdrawal agreement.

The UK accepts that it has some obligations. And it has promised not to leave any other country out of pocket in the current EU budget period from 2014-20.

But the devil is in the detail.

There are also longer term issues like pensions for EU staff, and how the UK’s contribution to these is calculated for years to come, and the question of what happens to building projects that had funding agreed by all EU members including the UK but which will only begin construction after the UK has left.

Large amounts of the EU’s budget are spent in two areas – agriculture and fisheries, and development of poorer areas.

Projects include business start-ups, roads and railways, education and health programmes and many others.

What’s happened now?

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Downing Street has played down reports in the Financial Times and Daily Telegraph that a deal has been reached

Pressure is mounting to make progress on the Brexit talks before a crunch summit in mid-December, when EU leaders will decide if enough progress has been made on the first set of subjects to open negotiations on a future trade deal between the EU and the UK.

According to the Daily Telegraph and the Financial Times, agreement has now been reached between the two sets of negotiators on how the bill could be calculated.

Downing Street has played this down, with a source saying: “Negotiations are ongoing. There is, as yet, no settlement.”

The BBC understands detailed conversations are still taking place on which specific components will be included in the final bill and how they are calculated.

The final bill is likely to be paid over many years rather than in a single upfront sum.

So do we know what the number will be?

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Media captionGrayling: Not time to ‘put figure’ on Brexit bill

At the moment no. But there appears to have been an agreement on the way that the amount the UK pays will be calculated and the BBC understands that the range of possible settlements is between approximately 40bn and 55bn euros.

Transport Secretary Chris Grayling told BBC Radio 4’s Today: “There’s lots of speculation around numbers. There are no numbers for us to discuss this morning. We haven’t committed to numbers, what we’ve simply said is that we will fulfil our obligations built up during our period of membership.

“We want to leave as good friends, good neighbours, carry on trading with the European Union. It’s right and proper that we meet our obligations and that’s what we’re intending to do.”

The European Union’s chief negotiator, Michel Barnier, declined to answer questions about the figure when asked about it by the BBC in Berlin: “I don’t want to talk. Still working. Still working.”

What’s the reaction been?

Former Conservative leader Iain Duncan Smith said the UK – which according the the House of Commons Library paid an estimated £12.2bn to the EU in 2016-17 – would save a “staggering amount of money” after Brexit.

“Leaving the EU is always a bargain because we get our money back,” he told BBC Radio 5 Live.

But former UKIP leader Nigel Farage said the figures being reported would mean “Christmas has come early” for the EU.

The long-time Brexit campaigner told ITV’s Good Morning Britain that the UK was “selling out” and that even if such a sum secured tariff-free access to EU markets, this would not be worth it.

On the other side, pro-Remain Labour MP Chuka Umunna said such a bill would knock on the head any prospect of the NHS getting £350m an extra a week in funding – as was claimed during the EU referendum.

Is the breakthrough we’ve been waiting for?

Remember there also has to be sufficient progress on the issues of citizens’ rights and the Irish border for EU leaders to agree to move the talks on in ten days’ time.

The first issue should not be a stumbling block – there has been talk of agreement being within “touching distance” but the second issue is now the “main sticking point”, the BBC’s Europe editor Katya Adler says.

The Irish government has said it wants firm guarantees on what kind of border controls there will be after Brexit and it is prepared to wait until next year, if necessary, for them.

The BBC’s political editor Laura Kuenssberg said there was some talk in Whitehall of trying to agree a position which would stress agreement in the first two areas and “park” the Irish question until early next year.

But she said EU officials were “pouring a freezing cold bucket of water” over the idea of a staged approach.

In the meantime, she said both sides were discussing whether a joint paper could be produced before next Monday formalising what has been agreed so far so it could not potentially be unpicked at a later date.



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